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Today’s briefing:

  • How SA is diversifying (just in case)

  • Why AI is costing us more

  • Trump’s Blame Game

🇿🇦 SA to US: Renew the Deal, But We're Hedging Our Bets

South Africa is publicly pushing the U.S. to renew the African Growth & Opportunity Act (AGOA), a crucial trade pact set to expire at the end of this month.

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"[What] President Trump did was a wake-up call for [us]... a wake-up call in saying that we need to upgrade our relations, our trade relations, with many other countries in the world."

President Cyril Ramaphosa

But behind the scenes, Pretoria is sending a clear message: we're actively diversifying.

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"We want the world to buy from us, not just rocks and dust but finished products."

On economic identity: President Cyril Ramaphosa

Why it matters: If the trade pact isn't renewed, South African exports like vehicles and vehicle parts, citrus products, and wine will be hard-hit.

The deal guarantees duty-free access for most goods, but the U.S. hasn't yet said if it will be renewed.

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"Unilateral trade practices and economic coercion have a detrimental impact on many nations."

On global stability: President Cyril Ramaphosa

Driving the news:

  • Speaking at the Council on Foreign Relations in New York, President Cyril Ramaphosa warned that ongoing trade volatility is forcing SA to broaden its economic partnerships.

  • The country is deepening its outreach and seeking new markets for its manufactured goods in Asia, Latin America, and the Gulf.

📜 Ramaphosa described recent trade actions by the Trump administration as a "wake-up call" for South Africa.

  • The experience emphasized the urgent need for the country to de-risk its reliance on just a handful of export partners.

  • A steep 30% tariff imposed on SA exports already effectively nullifies Agoa's duty-free benefits.

The bottom line: While SA lobbies for a renewal, it's also building new trade bridges as a backup plan.

The U.S. holds the cards on Agoa's future, but South Africa is determined not to be left vulnerable again.

The "Workslop" Invasion 🤖

Why it matters: AI was supposed to make work easier, but a new study warns it has generated a productivity-killing problem: "workslop".

This low-quality, AI-generated content—polished-looking but substance-free reports, memos, and slides—is wasting employee time and costing companies millions.

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"I had to waste more time following up on the information and checking it with my own research... Then I continued to waste my own time having to redo the work myself."

A director in retail

By the numbers 📉: A survey of 1,150 U.S. employees by researchers from Stanford and BetterUp Labs reveals a costly epidemic.

  • 40% of employees report receiving workslop in the last month.

  • They spend an average of 1 hour and 56 minutes dealing with each instance.

  • This creates an invisible productivity tax of $186 per employee every month.

  • For a 10,000-person organization, that's over $9 million a year in lost productivity 💸.

Zoom in: The "workslop tax" is also interpersonal, eroding trust and collaboration.

  • When asked how it feels to get workslopped,

    • 53% reported being annoyed,

    • 38% confused,

    • and 22% offended.

  • Colleagues who send workslop are viewed as less creative, capable, and reliable by about half of recipients.

  • 42% see them as less trustworthy.

  • One-third of recipients said they are now less likely to want to work with that person in the future.

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"You can use AI to make your work better... [or] you can also use it to pretend to get 20 tasks done, and just 'Trojan horse' a bunch of work to your colleagues."

Kate Niederhoffer, VP of BetterUp Labs

Anxieties about offloading our brains to technology are not new.

  • The HBR article recalls Socrates' concerns about the alphabet, fearing it would let us outsource memory instead of truly knowing things.

  • But unlike past tools, workslop "uniquely uses machines to offload cognitive work to another human being".

  • The sender saves effort, but the receiver pays the price.

The big picture: This phenomenon helps solve a major puzzle: why, despite AI use doubling since 2023, 95% of organizations see no measurable return on their AI investments.

What's next: Leaders are urged to stop the cycle by setting clear standards.

  • Avoid "AI everywhere" mandates that encourage thoughtless use. Instead, model purposeful and intentional AI application.

  • Frame AI as a tool for collaboration, not a shortcut to dodge responsibility.

  • Uphold the same standards of excellence for work done by human-AI teams as for work done by humans alone.

Trump's Ukraine Blame Game 🔄

President Trump's rhetorical pivot on Ukraine is being seen in Europe as a strategic trap, designed to offload responsibility for the war—and the blame for failure—onto allies.

Why it matters: It allows Trump to wash his hands of a conflict he failed to end, recasting it as Europe's problem to solve. The policy is a change in analysis, not action.

Driving the news: After months of pushing Kyiv to cede territory, Trump now declares Ukraine can "fight and win" back its land. The catch: it must be done "with the help of the EU".

Reality Check 🧐: The administration's actions don't match the president's words.

  • 🗣️ Mixed messages: On the same day, Secretary of State Marco Rubio insisted the war "cannot end militarily" and "will end at a negotiating table."

  • 💸 Vanishing aid: The U.S. share of security assistance to Ukraine, once roughly 50%, has vanished.

  • ✂️ Military cutbacks: The Pentagon has announced reductions in military training and other aid to nations bordering Russia.

  • 🛑 Impossible demands: Trump is calling on the EU to enact tariffs on China and India and halt all Russian oil purchases—a move seen as a non-starter in Brussels.

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"Russia is in no way a tiger. It's more associated with a bear. And there is no such thing as a paper bear."

The Kremlin scoffed at Trump's analysis

What They're Saying: 🗣️

  • 🇪🇺European officials tell the F.T. it's the "start of a blame game" by an "unreliable ally".

  • 🇺🇦 Ukrainian President Zelensky, who has been mending ties with Trump, calls the rhetorical shift a "game changer."

  • 🏛️ Sen. Mitch McConnell praised Trump's words but blasted his administration for "undermining" them by limiting security assistance.

  • ☝️But a top Ukrainian official argued to the F.T. that Trump has a point: "The Europeans can do more and should do more".

The Bottom Line: The pivot is rhetorical, not material. Trump now offers Zelenskyy encouragement, but Ukraine still needs money and weapons that Europe may struggle to provide alone.